Novartis Kisqali NATALEE analysis reinforces 25% reduction in risk of recurrence across broad population of patients with early breast cancer
Novartis announced results from an updated invasive disease-free survival (iDFS) analysis of the pivotal phase III NATALEE trial, with a median follow-up of 33.3 months and following Kisqali (ribociclib) treatment completion by 78.3% of patients. Results reinforce the benefit seen at the earlier interim analysis, with a 25.1% (HR=0.749; 95% CI: 0.628, 0.892; p=0.0006) reduction in risk of disease recurrence in patients with stage II and III hormone receptor-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HR+/HER2-) early breast cancer (EBC) treated with adjuvant Kisqali plus a non-steroidal aromatase inhibitor as standard endocrine therapy (ET) compared to ET alone. Late-breaking data from this analysis presented at the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium (SABCS) Annual Meeting.
“As clinicians, we know that patients diagnosed with HR+/HER2- early breast cancer remain at risk of recurrence for decades, despite adjuvant endocrine therapy. Moreover, the real risk observed in this analysis in patients treated with endocrine therapy alone, including those with node-negative disease, highlights the need for effective and tolerable treatment options that can help keep patients cancer-free in the short and long term,” said Gabriel N. Hortobagyi, MD, FACP, Professor of Breast Medical Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center. “The updated NATALEE results reinforce the potential of ribociclib to help address these needs for the broader at-risk population with no added disruptions to patients’ quality of life compared to endocrine therapy alone.”
Kisqali data across all secondary efficacy endpoints was also consistent, including distant disease-free survival (DDFS) (25.1% risk reduction) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) (27.3% risk reduction). With fewer than 4% of events in both treatment arms (3.3% in the Kisqali-ET arm and 3.4% in the ET only arm), overall survival (OS) results will continue to evolve in the longer term.
The safety profile of Kisqali at the 400 mg dose remained consistent with previously reported results, with generally low-grade adverse events (AEs), other than laboratory abnormalities. AEs of special interest (grade 3 or higher) were neutropenia (44.3%), liver-related AEs (e.g., elevated transaminases) (8.6%), and QT interval prolongation (1.0%). No new safety signals were identified.
“The final iDFS analysis of NATALEE represents a significant milestone, building upon the robust evidence supporting Kisqali as a potential new adjuvant treatment for a broad, clinically common and identifiable population of patients with stage II and III HR+/HER2- early breast cancer,” said Jeff Legos, executive vice president, global head of oncology development at Novartis. “We are seeking approval for Kisqali in early breast cancer from health authorities worldwide, aspiring to more than double the number of at-risk patients who could potentially benefit from CDK4/6 inhibitor treatment in this setting.”
Novartis submitted NATALEE data to the European Medicines Agency and plans to finalize submission to the US Food and Drug Administration by end of year.
NATALEE is a global phase III multi-center, randomized, open-label trial to evaluate the efficacy and safety of Kisqali (ribociclib) with ET as an investigational adjuvant treatment versus ET alone in patients with stage II and III HR+/HER2- EBC, being conducted in collaboration with TRIO2. The adjuvant ET in both treatment arms was a non-steroidal aromatase inhibitor (NSAI; anastrozole or letrozole) and goserelin if applicable. The primary endpoint of NATALEE is iDFS as defined by the Standardized Definitions for Efficacy End Points (STEEP) criteria. A total of 5,101 adult patients with HR+/HER2- EBC across 20 countries were randomized in the trial.
Results previously announced at the American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) Annual Meeting 2023 showed Kisqali plus ET, compared to ET alone, lowered the risk of cancer recurrence by 25.2% (HR=0.748; 95% CI: 0.618, 0.906; p=0.0014), along with consistent clinically meaningful iDFS benefit across key pre-specified subgroups.
NATALEE explored a lower starting dose (400 mg) of Kisqali than the dose approved for treatment in metastatic breast cancer (MBC) (600 mg) with the goal to minimize disruptions to patient quality of life without compromising efficacy. Compared to the 600 mg dose, the safety profile of Kisqali at 400 mg was observed to have lower rates of symptomatic AEs and less need for dose modifications when administered up to three years. AEs of special interest (grade 3 or higher) are neutropenia (44.3%), liver-related AEs (e.g., elevated transaminases) (8.6%), and QT interval prolongation (1.0%).
More than 90% of patients diagnosed with breast cancer have EBC16. Despite adjuvant ET, approximately one-third of those diagnosed with stage II and more than half of those diagnosed with stage III HR+/HER2- EBC experience cancer recurrence. The risk of recurrence continues over decades with more than half of breast cancer recurrences occurring five or more years after diagnosis. For many of these patients, there are currently no targeted therapeutic options outside of the standard chemotherapy and ET20.
Kisqali has consistently demonstrated OS benefit while preserving or improving quality of life across three Phase III trials in MBC4-15. Updates to the NCCN Guidelines for breast cancer, released in January 2023, recommend ribociclib (Kisqali) as the only Category 1 preferred CDK4/6 inhibitor for first-line treatment of patients with HR+/HER2- MBC when combined with an aromatase inhibitor (AI). Additionally, Kisqali has the highest rating of any CDK4/6 inhibitor on the ESMO Magnitude of Clinical Benefit Scale, achieving a score of five out of five for first-line pre-menopausal patients with HR+/HER2- advanced breast cancer. Further, Kisqali in combination with either letrozole or fulvestrant has uniquely, among other CDK4/6 inhibitors, received a score of four out of five for post-menopausal patients with HR+/HER2- advanced breast cancer treated in the first line.
Kisqali has been approved in 99 countries worldwide, including by the United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and the European Commission. In the US, Kisqali is approved for the treatment of adult patients with HR+/HER2- advanced or MBC in combination with an AI as initial ET or fulvestrant as initial ET or following disease progression on ET in post-menopausal women or in men. In the EU, Kisqali is approved for the treatment of women with HR+/HER2- advanced or MBC in combination with either an AI or fulvestrant as initial ET or following disease progression. In pre- or peri-menopausal women, the ET should be combined with a luteinizing hormone-releasing hormone agonist.
Novartis is committed to continuing to study Kisqali in breast cancer. Novartis is collaborating with SOLTI, which is leading the HARMONIA study to test whether Kisqali changes tumour biology to enable a better response to ET compared to Ibrance (palbociclib) for patients with HR+/HER2-, HER2-enriched subtype24 MBC, and with the Akershus University Hospital in Norway on the NEOLETRIB trial, a neoadjuvant phase II trial studying the effects of Kisqali in HR+/HER2- EBC to discover the potentially unique underlying mechanism of action.
Kisqali was developed by the Novartis Institutes for BioMedical Research (NIBR) under a research collaboration with Astex Pharmaceuticals.

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